Republican ballot lead Modeled
Share of ballots castModeled
Share of active votersRegistration
Election Day so farActual
RepublicanDemocratNPAMinor party
Ballots by party and method
Modeled| Party | Early | E-Day | Total |
|---|
Election Day party counts are actual, from District 4 polling places. Mail and early ballots by party are modeled (see note at bottom).
Countywide by party
Actual| Party | Ballots | Turnout | Share |
|---|
Straight from the SOE feed. Countywide turnout uses SOE September 2026 registration.
Woodward needs
of NPA and minor-party voters to reach 50%+1
If the ballots cast so far split this way
Uses the three sliders aboveLine marks 50%
Partisan cushionWoodward's net from R + D voters
NPA & minor ballotsThe swing pool so far
Projected marginVotes, at the slider split
This is a calculator, not a forecast: it applies your assumptions to modeled party ballots cast so far and ignores undervotes. It updates with each SOE refresh.
District 4 turnout
Vs. countywide
Not yet votedActive voters, no ballot
Election Day
Ballot method
District 4
Countywide
Vote-by-mailEarlyElection Day
By community
City of each precinct's polling place| City | Precincts | Ballots | Eligible | Not voted | Turnout |
|---|